Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.553481 0.612885 0.678071 0.755283 0.844718 0.945633 1.068933
2025-05-25 0.450412 0.530156 0.625298 0.748764 0.907130 1.106828 1.383317
2025-06-01 0.388993 0.476697 0.587394 0.740515 0.952078 1.242494 1.687301
2025-06-08 0.345861 0.436804 0.556586 0.730726 0.986146 1.362490 1.992008
2025-06-15 0.323942 0.420459 0.552656 0.754040 1.066968 1.561808 2.469137
2025-06-22 0.293686 0.388699 0.522561 0.733609 1.076111 1.648193 2.777708
2025-06-29 0.273071 0.368079 0.505546 0.729541 1.108837 1.778153 3.205341
2025-07-06 0.248983 0.340085 0.474488 0.698896 1.091245 1.813498 3.450727
2025-07-13 0.240483 0.334224 0.476109 0.720863 1.167811 2.040450 4.200914
2025-07-20 0.232508 0.328323 0.476818 0.740927 1.243703 2.283738 5.101812
2025-07-27 0.223039 0.319248 0.471413 0.749336 1.298249 2.494847 6.025857
2025-08-03 0.209089 0.302060 0.451163 0.728555 1.290777 2.563372 6.564190
2025-08-10 0.195308 0.284682 0.429965 0.705164 1.277419 2.622746 7.139605
2025-08-17 0.184767 0.271993 0.415928 0.694145 1.289758 2.752767 8.066676
2025-08-24 0.175705 0.261127 0.404147 0.686108 1.307374 2.902464 9.193717
2025-08-31 0.167334 0.250865 0.392600 0.677200 1.321497 3.047451 10.437113
2025-09-07 0.164050 0.248953 0.395740 0.698238 1.410250 3.440609 13.308342
2025-09-14 0.155524 0.237520 0.380680 0.679794 1.398717 3.520326 14.610596
2025-09-21 0.149635 0.230331 0.372954 0.676120 1.424313 3.731999 17.030223
2025-09-28 0.141096 0.218054 0.354919 0.648418 1.382707 3.700518 17.782152
2025-10-05 0.139106 0.217221 0.358411 0.668280 1.472181 4.174044 23.247514
2025-10-12 0.136969 0.215982 0.361003 0.686402 1.560907 4.690284 30.640984
2025-10-19 0.133745 0.212586 0.359119 0.693993 1.621018 5.122635 38.821730